|Article # 8_2014||submitted on 01/17/2014 displayed on website on 03/06/2014|
|8 p.||Otmas A.A. (Senior), Podolsky Yu.V.|
|Evaluation of development-well success ratio and approving factor of local structures’ resources in Nenets Autonomous District|
|The development-well success ratio is used for quantifying of hydrocarbon resources and planning for oil and gas exploration, which is determined as the ratio of the number of discovered fields to the total number of promising areas drilled in the region. The accuracy of estimates of success ratio depends on the past experience. However, in practice, the success ratio is assumed to be evaluated correctly that leads to fatal errors in calculations.
The new approach to the assessment of development-well success ratio and its applying for practical purposes, based on the "game theory" (part of the theory of probability) is offered.
Key words: development-well success ratio, oil and gas fields, hydrocarbon resources, local structures, Nenets Autonomous District.
|article citation||Otmas A.A. (Senior), Podol’skiy Yu.V. Otsenka koeffitsientov udachi bureniya i podtverzhdaemosti resursov lokal'nykh struktur v Nenetskom avtonomnom okruge [Evaluation of development-well success ratio and approving factor of local structures’ resources in Nenets Autonomous District]. Neftegazovaya Geologiya. Teoriya I Praktika, 2014, vol. 9, no. 1, available at: http://www.ngtp.ru/rub/6/8_2014.pdf|
Orlova L.A., Kuranov A.V., Otmas A.A. (Junior), Zeger N.A. Analiz dostovernosti resursnykh otsenok lokal'nykh ob"ektov Severo-zapada Rossiyskoy federatsii pri podgotovke ikh k poiskovomu bureniyu [Analysis of the reliability of resource estimates of local objects before exploration]. Neftegazovaya geologiya. Teoriya i praktika, 2010, vol. 5, no. 4, available at: http://www.ngtp.ru/rub/6/48_2010.pdf.