Economy, information technology, resource management
Section editor – PhD in economics Krasnov O.S.
Article # 12_2019 submitted on 03/11/2019 displayed on website on 04/18/2019
17 p.
pdf Summation of probabilistic net present value estimates of local objects taking into account of a geological risk
The article considers the methods of summation probabilistic net present value (NPV) estimates of local oil and gas objects (prepared for drilling traps) with account of the geological risk associated with these objects: Monte-Carlo method and the analytical method, proposed by authors. The problem is solved for the following conditions: a) various probabilistic NPV estimates of the traps; b) various risk capital of the traps; c) various probabilistic characteristics of trap's geological risk. It is shown that the probabilistic total NPV estimates, obtained by applying the methods under consideration, coincide. The specific characteristics of these estimates are analyzed, and conditions of their practical application are defined.

Keywords: local objects (prepared for drilling traps, probabilistic net present value (NPV) estimates; summation of the trap probabilistic net present value (NPV) estimates; geological risk accounting.
article citation Emelyanova N.M., Poroskun V.I. Cummirovanie veroyatnostnykh otsenok chistogo diskontirovannogo dokhoda lokal'nykh ob"ektov s uchetom geologicheskogo riska [Summation of probabilistic net present value estimates of local objects taking into account of a geological risk]. Neftegazovaya Geologiya. Teoriya I Praktika, 2019, vol. 14, no. 2, available at: http://www.ngtp.ru/rub/2019/12_2019.html
DOI https://doi.org/10.17353/2070-5379/12_2019
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