Podolsky Yu.V.

/1936-2017/



Graduated from Leningrad Mining Institute, specialization «geological survey» (1959).
PhD in geology and mineralogy (1996).
Key fields of scientific research: development of mathematical models of geological and economic evaluation of hydrocarbon resources and reserves, planning of hydrocarbon exploration and mining in a market economy.
Author of 170 publications, including 5 monographs.
Scientific heritage /VNIGRI's ideas/
Section editor – PhD in geology and mineralogy Prischepa O.M.
Article # 19_2015 submitted on 05/18/2015 displayed on website on 05/21/2015
11 p.
pdf  Scientific heritage of Nalivkin Vasiliy Dmitrivich
The article is devoted to the 100th anniversary of Nalivkin Vasiliy Dmitrievich - the outstanding petroleum geologist, corresponding member of the Russian Academy of Sciences, Lenin Prize laureate, honorary academician of the Academy of Sciences of Belarus. The results of geological and economic research activity of Nalivkin V.D. as the fundamental basis of quantitative and economic assessment of Russian hydrocarbon resources and forecast of its development has been analyzed.

Keywords: scientific heritage, oil geological science, geological and economic studies, VNIGRI, Nalivkin V.D.
article citation Grigorenko Yu.N., Podolsky Yu.V., Nazarov V.I. Nauchnoe nasledie Vasiliya Dmitrievicha Nalivkina [Scientific heritage of Nalivkin Vasiliy Dmitrivich]. Neftegazovaya Geologiya. Teoriya I Praktika, 2015, vol. 10, no. 2, available at: http://www.ngtp.ru/rub/10/19_2015.pdf
DOI https://doi.org/10.17353/2070-5379/19_2015
References

   Analiz vliyaniya razlichnykh faktorov na razmeshchenie i formirovanie mestorozhdeniy nefti i gaza (na primere platformennykh oblastey) [Analysis of the impact of diverse factors on the distribution and formation of oil and gas fields (on example of platform areas)]. Editors V.S. Lazarev and V.D. Nalivkin. Trudy VNIGRI, vol. 295. Leningrad: Nedra, 1971, 336.
   Analiz skhem formirovaniya mestorozhdeniy i prognoz neftegazonosnosti struktur (s primeneniem matematicheskikh metodov i EVM [Analysis of formational schemes of deposits and forecast of oil and gas potential of structures (with the application of mathematical methods and computers]. Aminov L.Z., Amosov G.A., M.D. Belonin, N.S. Beskrovnyy, E.D. Voytovich, A.Yu. Zhukov, K.P. Ivanova, Z.Ya Kats, N.M. Kruglikov, Yu.I. Kuznetsov, V.S. Lazarev, A.D. Nadezhdin, V.D. Nalivkin, A.V. Nikulin, V.G. Petrova, A.V. Rybakov, R.S. Sakhibgareev, G.P. Sverchkov, A.G. Sorokin, E.M. Khalimov, K.A. Chernikov, S.I. Shvetsov. Trudy VNIGRI, vol. 389. Leningrad: Nedra, 1977, 186 p.
   Atlas litologo-paleogeograficheskikh kart Russkoy platformy i ee geosinklinal'nogo obramleniya. Ch. 1: Pozdniy dokembriy i paleozoy [Atlas of lithologic-paleogeographic maps of the Russian platform and its geosynclinal frame. Part 1: The Late Precambrian and Paleozoic]. Editors A.P. Vinogradov, V.D. Nalivkin; Editorial board: V.G. Bondarchuk, E. Bonchev, I.O. Brod, E. Vadas, A.P. Vinogradov, A. Delchev, V.Ya. Didkovskiy, S.M. Domrachev, E.M. Lyutkevich, A. Mateyka, M.V. Muratov, V.D. Nalivkin, M. Paykhel', K. Petkovich, V.M. Pozner, V.P. Rengarten, A.B. Ronov, N.T. Sazonov, E. Saulya, F. Sentesh, B.S. Sokolov, V.N. Tikhiy, M.M. Tolstikhina, N.N. Forsh, A.V. Khabakov, V.E. Khain, A.L. Tsagareli, A.L. Yanshin. Moscow-Leningrad: Gosgeoltekhizdat, 1960.
   Atlas litologo-paleogeograficheskikh kart Russkoy platformy i ee geosinklinal'nogo obramleniya. Ch. 2: Mezozoy i kaynozoy [Atlas of lithologic-paleogeographic maps of the Russian platform and its geosynclinal frame. Part 2: Mesozoic and Cenozoic]. Editors A.P. Vinogradov, A.B. Ronov and V.E. Khain; Editorial board: V.G. Bondarchuk, E. Bonchev, I.O. Brod, E. Vadas, A.P. Vinogradov, A. Delchev, V.Ya. Didkovskiy, S.M. Domrachev, E.M. Lyutkevich, A. Mateyka, M.V. Muratov, V.D. Nalivkin, M. Paykhel', K. Petkovich, V.M. Pozner, V.P. Rengarten, A.B. Ronov, N.T. Sazonov, E. Saulya, F. Sentesh, B.S. Sokolov, V.N. Tikhiy, M.M. Tolstikhina, N.N. Forsh, A.V. Khabakov, V.E. Khain, A.L. Tsagareli, A.L. Yanshin. – Moscow-Leningrad: Gosgeoltekhizdat, 1961.
   Geologiya i neftegazonosnost' Zapadno-Sibirskoy nizmennosti – novoy neftyanoy bazy SSSR [Geology and petroleum potential of the West Siberian Plain - the new oil recourses area of USSR]. F.G. Gurari, V.P. Kazarinov, Yu.K. Mironov, V.D. Nalivkin, I.I. Nesterov, T.I. Osyko, L.I. Rovnin, N.N. Rostovtsev, M.Ya. Rudkevich, T.N. Simonenko, V.N. Sokolov, A.A. Trofimuk, N.G. Chochia, Yu.G. Erv'e. Novosibirsk: SB AS SSSR, 1963, 201p.
   Geologo-matematicheskie metody prognoza neftegazonosnosti lokal'nykh struktur molodykh platform [Geological and mathematical methods of forecasting of oil and gas potential of local structures of young platforms]. Editors I.P. Zhabrev and V.D. Nalivkin. Moscow: Nedra, 1980, 261 p.
   Kriterii razdel'noy otsenki neftenosnosti i gazonosnosti (na primere Timano-Pechorskoy provintsii) [The criteria for separate evaluation of the oil-bearing and gas-bearing potential (for example of the Timan-Pechora province)]. G.A. Amosov, M.D. Belonin, I.S. Gol'dberg, G.P. Evseev, Yu.A. Zhukov, K.P. Ivanova, V.V. Ivantsova, Z.G. Kaplan, G.S. Kalmykov, E.A. Kareva, Z.Ya. Kats, N.M. Kruglikov, V.S. Lazarev, G.V. Lebedeva, K.D. Melekhova, P.I. Motovilov, V.D. Nalivkin, V.V. Nevskiy, N.M. Nevskaya, V.G. Petrova, K.F. Rakhmanov, G.P. Sverchkov, K.A. Chernikov. Trudy VNIGRI, vol. 334. Leningrad: Nedra, 1974, 183 p.
   Metodicheskie ukazaniya po kolichestvennoy otsenke prognoznykh resursov nefti, gaza i kondensata [Guidelines for quantitative evaluation of inferred resources of oil, gas and condensate]. Moscow: VNIGNI, 1983, p. 214.
   Metody otsenki perspektiv neftegazonosnosti [Methods for evaluating the petroleum potential]. Editors: N.I. Buyalov, V.D. Nalivkin. Authors: M.D. Belonin, N.I. Buyalov, E.V. Zakharov, A.E. Kontorovich, M.S. L'vov, S.P. Maksimov, M.S. Modelevskiy, V.D. Nalivkin, I.I. Nesterov, G.P. Sverchkov, V.I. Shpil'man. Moscow: Nedra, 1979, 332 p.
   Nalivkin V.D., Dmitriev G.A. Verkhniy paleozoy Simskogo zavoda [Upper Paleozoic of Simsk plant]. Problemy sovetskoy geologii, 1937, no. 7, vol. 607-616.
   Nalivkin V.D., Rozanov L.N., Fotiadi E.E., Egorov S.P., Engurazov I.I., Kovalevskiy Yu.S., Kozachenko M.G., Kondrat'eva M.G., Kuznetsov G.A., Kulikov F.S., Lobov V.A., Sofronitskiy P.A., Tatarinov A.G. Volgo-Ural'skaya neftenosnaya oblast'. Tektonika [Volga-Ural petroleum province. Tectonics]. Trudy VNIGRI, 1956, vol. 10, 312 p.
   Nalivkin V.D., Smirnov G.A. Etapy geologicheskoy istorii Urala [Stages of the geological history of the Urals]. Geologiya i paleontologiya. Leningrad: Nauka, 1989, p. 154-168.
   Vremennaya metodika ekonomicheskoy otsenki prognoznykh i perspektivnykh resursov nefti [Contemporary methodology for economic assessment of perspective and inferred resources of oil]. V.D. Nalivkin and authors. Leningard: VNIGRI, 1986.
   Vremennye metodicheskie ukazaniya po ekonomicheskoy otsenke resursov nefti i gaza [Contemporary methodology for economic assessment of oil and gas resources]. V.D. Nalivkin and authors. Leningard: VNIGRI, 1993.



Petroleum potential and development
Section editor – PhD in geology and mineralogy Podol'skiy Yu.V.
Article # 8_2014 submitted on 01/17/2014 displayed on website on 03/06/2014
8 p.
pdf  Evaluation of development-well success ratio and approving factor of local structures’ resources in Nenets Autonomous District
The development-well success ratio is used for quantifying of hydrocarbon resources and planning for oil and gas exploration, which is determined as the ratio of the number of discovered fields to the total number of promising areas drilled in the region. The accuracy of estimates of success ratio depends on the past experience. However, in practice, the success ratio is assumed to be evaluated correctly that leads to fatal errors in calculations. The new approach to the assessment of development-well success ratio and its applying for practical purposes, based on the "game theory" (part of the theory of probability) is offered.

Key words: development-well success ratio, oil and gas fields, hydrocarbon resources, local structures, Nenets Autonomous District.
article citation Otmas A.A. (Senior), Podol’skiy Yu.V. Otsenka koeffitsientov udachi bureniya i podtverzhdaemosti resursov lokal'nykh struktur v Nenetskom avtonomnom okruge [Evaluation of development-well success ratio and approving factor of local structures’ resources in Nenets Autonomous District]. Neftegazovaya Geologiya. Teoriya I Praktika, 2014, vol. 9, no. 1, available at: http://www.ngtp.ru/rub/6/8_2014.pdf
DOI https://doi.org/10.17353/2070-5379/8_2014
References

   Orlova L.A., Kuranov A.V., Otmas A.A. (Junior), Zeger N.A. Analiz dostovernosti resursnykh otsenok lokal'nykh ob"ektov Severo-zapada Rossiyskoy federatsii pri podgotovke ikh k poiskovomu bureniyu [Analysis of the reliability of resource estimates of local objects before exploration]. Neftegazovaya geologiya. Teoriya i praktika, 2010, vol. 5, no. 4, available at: http://www.ngtp.ru/rub/6/48_2010.pdf.
   Vorob'ev N.N. Sovremennoe sostoyanie teorii igr [Modern state of the theory of games]. Uspekhi matematicheskikh nauk, 1970, vol. 25, no. 2 (252), p. 80-140.
   Devis Dzh. Statistika i analiz geologicheskikh dannykh [Statistics and analysis of geological data]. Moscow: «Mir», 1977, 572 .



Petroleum potential and development
Section editor – PhD in geology and mineralogy Podol'skiy Yu.V.
Article # 29_2013 submitted on 06/10/2013 displayed on website on 07/22/2013
12 p.
pdf  Current and future development of the hydrocarbons resources prospects in the Nenets Autonomous Okrug
The dynamics of official hydrocarbon resources in the Nenets Autonomous Okrug showes on the one and steady increase in initial total hydrocarbons resources and on the other hand a sharp reduction in the size of new discoveries and prospects. Most likely the reason is the other estimation of the initial total hydrocarbon resources, fact confirmed by the results of the stimulation. Despite a marked reduction in the current industrial stocks, short-term prospects of oil and gas in the region should be associated primarily with reserves current inventory.

Key words: hydrocarbons, the initial total resources, quantification of hydrocarbons, exploration, simulation, and the Nenets Autonomous District.
article citation Otmas A.A. (Senior), Podol'skiy Yu.V. Sostoyanie i perspektivy razvitiya syr'evoy bazy uglevodorodov na territorii Nenetskogo avtonomnogo okruga [Current and future development of the hydrocarbons resources prospects in the Nenets Autonomous Okrug]. Neftegazovaya Geologiya. Teoriya I Praktika, 2013, vol. 8, no. 3, available at: http://www.ngtp.ru/rub/6/29_2013.pdf
DOI https://doi.org/10.17353/2070-5379/29_2013
References


   Belonin M.D., Podol'skiy Yu.V. Neftegazovyy potentsial Rossii i vozmozhnosti ego realizatsii [Oil and gas potential of Russia and the possibility of its development]. – SPb.: Nedra. – 2006. – 376 s.
   Prishchepa O.M., Bogatskiy V.I., Makarevich V.N., Chumakova O.V., Nikonov N.I., Kuranov A.V., Bogdanov M.M. Novye predstavleniya o tektonicheskom i neftegazogeologicheskom rayonirovanii Timano-Pechorskoy neftegazonosnoy provintsii [New ideas about tectonic and petroleum geological zoning of the of the Timan-Pechora petroleum province] // Neftegazovaya geologiya. Teoriya i praktika. – 2011. - T.6. - №4. - http://www.ngtp.ru/rub/4/40_2011.pdf



Petroleum potential and development
Section editor – PhD in geology and mineralogy Podol'skiy Yu.V.
Article # 23_2013 submitted on 06/10/2013 displayed on website on 06/21/2013
11 p.
pdf  Hydrocarbon resource base of Republic of Sakha (Yakutia)
High assess of total initial hydrocarbon resources and poor degree of exploration have allowed to expect new large discoveries in the Republic of Sakha (Yakutia). However, the set of prepared structures and the degree of their involvement in exploration are clearly not consistent with the forecasted opportunities of the region. The rate of reserves growth, including due to new discoveries are also low. All this is taking place against the background of significant increase of exploration cost. In the short term oil and gas production in the Republic of Sakha (Yakutia) will be determined by the rates of development of old fields.
The reserves growth is required to create a reliable hydrocarbon resource base in the Republic of Sakha (Yakutia). This, in turn, requires a sharp increase in the volume of work, stabilization of the unit cost for their performance, and expansion of prospecting and exploration activities outside the Nepa-Botuoba oil and gas area, where the degree of hydrocarbon resources’ exploration has exceeded 40%.

Key words: hydrocarbons, total initial resources, petroleum potential, reserves renewal, the Republic of Sakha (Yakutia).
article citation Podol'skiy Yu.V., Margulis L.S. Syr'evaya baza uglevodorodov Respubliki Sakha (Yakutiya) [Hydrocarbon resource base of Republic of Sakha (Yakutia)]. Neftegazovaya Geologiya. Teoriya I Praktika, 2013, vol. 8, no. 2, available at: http://www.ngtp.ru/rub/6/23_2013.pdf
DOI https://doi.org/10.17353/2070-5379/23_2013
References




Petroleum potential and development
Section editor – PhD in geology and mineralogy Podolsky Yu.V.
Article # 57_2008 submitted on 12/11/2008 displayed on website on 12/17/2008
22 p.
pdf  Possible development of the oil-gas complex, Russia, to 2030
The hydrocarbon resource base of Russia is depleted: yearly production isn't compensated by reserves growth, a share of difficult-to-recovery reserves in the structure of current reserves grows. Practically all the new discoveries are assigned to the small and smallest hydrocarbon accumulations. Exploration efficiency decreases, the volume of exploration declines. Petroleum industry is in considerable dependence on world oil prices. The world financial crisis puts the Russian producing companies in difficult credit-financial conditions. Therefore it is expected that in the nearest years, in Russia, the race of oil production decrease will not be less than 3% an year (in some companies in Western Siberia - to 5 % an year). At the same time the potential of oil-producing regions is yet sufficiently high and allows maintaining the current levels of oil production at least to 2020, growing gas production to 800 billion m3 year to 2020. (in world oil prices of more than 70 doll./barrel).
Key words:resources and reserves of oil and gas, reserves growth, hydrocarbon production, forecast.
article citation Podolsky Yu.V. Possible development of the oil-gas complex, Russia, to 2030 // Neftegazovaya Geologiya. Teoriya I Praktika. – 2008. - V.3. - #4.- http://www.ngtp.ru/rub/6/57_2008.pdf
Petroleum potential and development
Section editor – PhD in geology and mineralogy Podolsky Yu.V.
Article # 29_2008 submitted on 07/29/2008
13 p.
pdf  Oil potential of Russia. Problems of its estimation and development
Ultimate potential oil resources in many Russia onshore and offshore regions have been overestimated and their revision is required. The сommercial oil reserves in the major oil-producing regions decline, deplete; they are not capable to maintain the high levels of oil production within the next five years. For oil production grow it is necessary to put the fields of Eastern Siberia, the Nenets Autonomous Okrug and the Russia shelves into production. For maintaining an oil production at a level of more than 420 million t/year by 2030, it is necessary to grow no less than 12.5 billion t of new reserves including 4.0 billion t in already discovered fields as a result of increasing an oil recovery factor
Key words: oil potential, economic estimation of exploration, ultimate potential oil resources, additions to commercial reserves, production rates.
article citation Podolsky Yu.V. Oil potential of Russia. Problems of its estimation and development // Neftegazovaya Geologiya. Teoriya I Praktika. – 2008. - V.3. - #3.- http://www.ngtp.ru/rub/6/29_2008.pdf
Petroleum potential and development
Section editor – PhD in geology and mineralogy Podol'skiy Yu.V.
Article # 40_2012
14 p.
pdf  Evaluation of total initial hydrocarbon resources of the Timan-Pechora province using simulation modeling method
Over the past 30 years, official estimates of recoverable total initial oil resources of the Timan-Pechora province have increased by almost two-fold. Because of this and despite the huge amount of exploration and growth of commercial reserves, the coefficient of oil resources exploration in the region remains constant. The sharp reduction in the size of new discovered fields can be associated with overvaluation of the total initial resources; and this fact is confirmed by simulation modeling.
Key words: hydrocarbons, total initial resources, quantitative evaluation of hydrocarbon, exploration, simulation modeling, Timan-Pechora province.
article citation Podol'skiy Yu.V., Avsievich A.I., Lebedeva L.V. Otsenka nachal'nykh summarnykh resursov uglevodorodov Timano-Pechorskoy provintsii metodom imitatsionnogo modelirovaniya [Evaluation of total initial hydrocarbon resources of the Timan-Pechora province using simulation modeling method ]. Neftegazovaya Geologiya. Teoriya I Praktika, 2012, vol. 7, no. 3, available at: http://www.ngtp.ru/rub/6/40_2012.pdf
References

   Belonin M.D., Podol'skiy Yu.V. Neftegazovyy potentsial Rossii i vozmozhnosti ego realizatsii [Oil and gas potential of Russia and the possibility of its development]. Saint Petersburg: Nedra, 2006, 376 p.
   Prognoz mestorozhdeniy nefti i gaza [Forecast of oil and gas fields]. Moscow: Nauka, 1981, 350 p.