Economy, information technology, resource management
Section editor – PhD in economics Krasnov O.S.
| Article # 50_2016 | submitted on 11/30/2016 displayed on website on 12/23/2015 |
| 21 p. | Grigor'ev G.A. |
| Probabilistic methods application for oil geological research | |
| The potential of involvement of probabilistic methods is discussed with regard to the specifics of oil geological issues arising from the need to consider sophisticated and multifactorial processes, information about which is most often very limited and characterized by a high level of uncertainty. The features of the mathematical framework that implements this approach are analyzed; and the methodological challenges and technological limitations are investigated. The conditions and criteria ensuring correct application of this tools and the reliability of the results and estimates, which directly determine the effectiveness of managerial decisions in the oil and gas sector formed on their basis, are analyzed.
Keywords: oil and gas geology, estimation of reserves, geological and economic evaluation, probabilistic and statistical methods, the probability density function. |
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| article citation | Grigor’ev G.A. Osobennosti primeneniya veroyatnostnykh metodov pri neftegeologicheskikh issledovaniyakh [Probabilistic methods application for oil geological research]. Neftegazovaya Geologiya. Teoriya I Praktika, 2016, vol. 11, no. 4, available at: http://www.ngtp.ru/rub/3/50_2016.pdf |
| DOI | https://doi.org/10.17353/2070-5379/50_2016 |
References
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Gert A.A. Suprunchik N.A., Nemova O.G., Volkova K.N. Ekonomicheskoe obosnovanie effektivnosti upravlencheskikh resheniy na osnove stoimostnoy otsenki neftegazovykh mestorozhdeniy i uchastkov nedr [Economic substantiation of efficiency of management decisions on the basis of the assessment of oil and gas fields and subsoil plots]. Mineral'nye resursy Rossii. Ekonomika i upravlenie, 2009, no. 1, p. 48-56.
Grigor'ev G.A. Analiz riskov v neftegazovykh proektakh – sostoyanie i sushchestvuyushchie problemy [Risk analysis in the oil and gas projects - present state of existing problems] Kompleksnoe izuchenie i osvoenie syr'evoy bazy nefti i gaza severa evropeyskoy chasti Rossii: Proceedings of scientific practical conference. (St. Petersburg, 4-7 June, 2012), St. Petersburg: VNIGRI, 2012, p. 321-334.
Grigor'ev G.A. Podkhody k otsenke riskov v neftegazodobyche, sostoyanie problem [Approaches to the evaluation of risks in the oil and gas production; the state of the problem]. Teoriya i praktika stoimostnoy otsenki neftegazovykh ob"ektov. Sovershenstvovanie sistemy nalogooblozheniya: Proceedings of scientific practical conference. (St. Petersburg, 4-8 July, 2005), St. Petersburg: Nedra, 2005, p. 149-157.
Lappo A.V., Ampilov Yu.P. Tekhniko-ekonomicheskie otsenki morskikh mestorozhdeniy uglevodorodov na rannikh stadiyakh izucheniya [Technical and economic assessment of marine hydrocarbon deposits in the early stages of investigation]. Gazovaya promyshlennost', 2011, no. 8, p.62-67.
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Ampilov Yu.P. Stoimostnaya otsenka nedr [Subsoil estimation]. Moscow: Geoinformtsentr, 2003, 274 p.
Ampilov Yu.P., Gert A.A. Ekonomicheskaya geologiya [Economic geology], Moscow: Geoinformmark, 2006, 329 p.
Andreev A.F., Zubareva V.D., Sarkisov A.S. Analiz riskov neftegazovykh proektov [Analysis of risks in oil and gas projects]. Moscow: Izd-vo «Neft' i gaz» RGU im. I.M. Gubkina, 2003, 231 p.
Belonin M.D., Podol'skiy Yu.V. Neftegazovyy potentsial Rossii i vozmozhnosti ego realizatsii [Oil and gas potential of Russia and prospects of its development]. St. Petersburg: Nedra, 2006, 375 p.
Geologo-ekonomicheskaya otsenka kak osnova formirovaniya strategii vosproizvodstva zapasov i razvitiya dobychi nefti i gaza v Rossii [Geological and economic evaluation as the basis for the creation of a reserves renewing strategy and development of oil and gas in Russia]. G.A. Grigor'ev; FGUP «VNIGRI», St. Petersburg: VNIGRI, 2014, 344 p, (Trudy VNIGRI).
Gert A.A., Nemova O.G., Suprunchik N.A., Volkova K.N. Stoimostnaya otsenka zapasov i resursov uglevodorodnogo syr'ya [The assessment of hydrocarbon reserves and resources]. Mineral'nye resursy Rossii. Ekonomika i upravlenie, 2006, no. 2, p. 54-60.
Gert A.A. Suprunchik N.A., Nemova O.G., Volkova K.N. Ekonomicheskoe obosnovanie effektivnosti upravlencheskikh resheniy na osnove stoimostnoy otsenki neftegazovykh mestorozhdeniy i uchastkov nedr [Economic substantiation of efficiency of management decisions on the basis of the assessment of oil and gas fields and subsoil plots]. Mineral'nye resursy Rossii. Ekonomika i upravlenie, 2009, no. 1, p. 48-56.
Grigor'ev G.A. Analiz riskov v neftegazovykh proektakh – sostoyanie i sushchestvuyushchie problemy [Risk analysis in the oil and gas projects - present state of existing problems] Kompleksnoe izuchenie i osvoenie syr'evoy bazy nefti i gaza severa evropeyskoy chasti Rossii: Proceedings of scientific practical conference. (St. Petersburg, 4-7 June, 2012), St. Petersburg: VNIGRI, 2012, p. 321-334.
Grigor'ev G.A. Podkhody k otsenke riskov v neftegazodobyche, sostoyanie problem [Approaches to the evaluation of risks in the oil and gas production; the state of the problem]. Teoriya i praktika stoimostnoy otsenki neftegazovykh ob"ektov. Sovershenstvovanie sistemy nalogooblozheniya: Proceedings of scientific practical conference. (St. Petersburg, 4-8 July, 2005), St. Petersburg: Nedra, 2005, p. 149-157.
Lappo A.V., Ampilov Yu.P. Tekhniko-ekonomicheskie otsenki morskikh mestorozhdeniy uglevodorodov na rannikh stadiyakh izucheniya [Technical and economic assessment of marine hydrocarbon deposits in the early stages of investigation]. Gazovaya promyshlennost', 2011, no. 8, p.62-67.
Shennon R. Imitatsionnoe modelirovanie sistem – iskusstvo i nauka [Simulation of modelling - the art and science]. Moscow: Nauka, 1978, 418 p.
Spravochnik po matematike dlya inzhenerov i uchashchikhsya VTUZov [Handbook of mathematics for engineers and students of technical colleges]. I.N. Bronshteyn, K.A. Semendyaev. Moscow: Nauka, 1981, 720 p.