Livshits V.R.

livshic.vr@mail.ru



Graduated from the Novosibirsk Electrotechnical Institute of Communications (1972).
PhD in geology and mineralogy, Associate Professor.
Chief Researcher of the Trofimuk Institute of Petroleum Geology and Geophysics, Siberian Branch, Russian Academy of Sciences.
Area of scientific interest: petroleum geology, petroleum basins, quantitative assessment of oil and gas prospects, mathematical modeling of naphthogenesis processes.
Author of 147 publications.
Economy, information technology, resource management
Section editor – PhD in economics Krasnov O.S.
Article # 43_2019 submitted on 11/22/2019 displayed on website on 12/09/2019
16 p.
pdf Correlation of mass distribution law of hydrocarbon accumulations and petroleum fields
Petroleum basin hydrocarbon accumulation distribution law constitutes mathematical basement of quantitative prognosis of hydrocarbon potential. Wherein it is important to differ the distribution law of hydrocarbon accumulations from that of the petroleum fields. It is shown that if hydrocarbon accumulation mass distribution of petroleum basin is governed by the truncated Pareto distribution then distribution of petroleum fileds of the basin cannot be described by the same law. Using probability theory analytical methods as well as statistical analysis methods and statistical data processing allowed establishing the law of hydrocarbon fileds mass distribution provided that hydrocarbon accumulation distribution is governed by the truncated Pareto law. Received probability distribution is modeless and close to be power-series although strictly speaking it is not the case.

Keywords: petroleum basin, hydrocarbon accumulations, petroleum fields, hydrocarbon accumulation and fileds mass probability distribution, the truncated Pareto distribution.
article citation Livshits V.R. Vzaimosvyaz' zakonov raspredeleniya po masse zalezhey i mestorozhdeniy uglevodorodov [Correlation of mass distribution law of hydrocarbon accumulations and petroleum fields]. Neftegazovaya Geologiya. Teoriya I Praktika, 2019, vol. 14, no. 4, available at: http://www.ngtp.ru/rub/2019/43_2019.html
DOI https://doi.org/10.17353/2070-5379/43_2019
References
   Arsiriy Yu.A., Kabyshev B.P., Chuprynin D.I., Shevchenko A.F., Shevyakova Z.P. Prognoz razmerov i chisla neotkrytykh zalezhey UV i metodika ikh poiskov v DDV [Forecast of the size and number of undiscovered hydrocarbon accumulations and the method of their exploration in DDV]. Geologiya nefti i gaza, 1986, no.10, pp. 42-46.
   Bakirov V.A. Statisticheskaya model' raspredeleniya mestorozhdeniy nefti i gaza po velichine zapasov [Statistical model of size distribution of oil and gas fields]. Geologiya nefti i gaza, 1972, no. 2, pp. 63-68.
   Burshteyn L.M. Statisticheskie otsenki parametrov raspredeleniya skopleniy nefti po velichine v slaboizuchennykh sedimentatsionnykh basseynakh [Statistical estimates of the distribution parameters of oil clusters by size in poorly studied sedimentation basins]. Geologiya i geofizika, 2006, vol. 47, no. 9, pp. 1013-1023.
   Burshteyn L.M. Vozmozhnyy mekhanizm formirovaniya raspredeleniya skopleniy uglevodorodov po krupnosti [Possible mechanism of formation of the distribution of hydrocarbon accumulations by size]. Geologiya i geofizika, 2004, vol. 45, no. 7, pp. 815-825.
   Burshteyn L.M., Livshits V.R. K voprosu o raspredelenii skopleniy uglevodorodov po krupnosti [On the question of the distribution of hydrocarbons clusters by size]. Genezis nefti i gaza, Moscow: «GEOS», 2003, pp. 424-426.
   Buyalov N.I., Vagerov V.S., Shungutova S.A. Opyt primeneniya logarifmicheski normal'nogo zakona raspredeleniya dlya otsenki prognoznykh resursov uglevodorodov [The experience of application of lognormal distribution law to assessing the predicted hydrocarbon reserves]. Ref. nauch.-tekhn. sb. VNIIOENG. Seriya neftegazovaya geologiya i geofizika, 1975, no. 6, pp. 13-18.
   Geoflyuidodinamika. Prilozhenie k seysmologii, tektonike, protsessam rudo i neftegeneza [Geofluidodynamics. An appendix to seismology, tectonics, ore and neftegenesis processes]. M.V. Rodkin, D.V. Rundkvist. Dolgoprudnyy: ID «Intellekt», 2017, 282 p.
   Geokhimicheskie metody kolichestvennogo prognoza neftegazonosnosti [Geochemical methods for quantitative prediction of petroleum potential]. A.E. Kontorovich, Moscow: Nedra, 1976, 250 p.
   Kaufman G.M., Balcer Y., Kruit D.A. Probabilistic model of oil and gas discovery. American Association of Petroleum Geologists, 1975, no. 1, pp. 113-142.
   Kolichestvennaya otsenka perspektiv neftegazonosnosti slaboizuchennykh regionov[Quantitative assessment of the prospects of petroleum potential of poorly studied regions]. A.E. Kontorovich, L.M. Burshteyn, G.S. Gurevich, V.I. Demin, M.S. Modelevskiy, A.A. Rastegin, I.A. Strakhov, A.L. Vymyatnin, V.R. Livshits; editor A.E. Kontorovich. Moscow: Nedra, 1988, 223 p.
   Kolichestvennyy prognoz neftegazonosnosti [A quantitative forecast of oil and gas potential]. V.I. Shpil'man. Moscow: Nedra, 1982, 215 p.
   Kontorovich A., Domain V., Livshitc V. Size distribution and dynamics of oil and gas field discoveries in petroleum basins. AAPG Bulletin, 2001, vol. 85, no. 9, pp. 1609-1622.
   Kontorovich A.E. Geneticheskie printsipy razdel'nogo prognoza neftegazonosnosti i gazonosnosti [Genetic principles of separate forecasting of oil-and-gas content and gas content]. Osadochno-migratsionnaya teoriya obrazovaniya nefti i gaza. Moscow, 1978, pp. 189-204.
   Kontorovich A.E. Obshchaya teoriya naftidogeneza. Bazisnye kontseptsii, puti postroeniya Teoreticheskie i regional'nye problemy geologii nefti i gaza [General theory of naphthidogenesis. Basic concepts, ways of building, in: Theoretical and Regional Problems of Oil and Gas Geology]. Novosibirsk: Nauka, Sibirskoe otdelenie, 1991, pp. 29-44.
   Kontorovich A.E. Osadochno-migratsionnaya teoriya naftidogeneza: sostoyanie na rubezhe XX i XXI vv., puti dal'neyshego razvitiya [Sedimentary-migration theory of nafthidogenesis: State at the turn of the 20th and 21st centuries, paths of further development]. Geologiya nefti i gaza, 1998, no.10, pp. 8-16.
   Kontorovich A.E. Teoreticheskie osnovy ob"emno-geneticheskogo metoda otsenki potentsial'nykh resursov nefti i gaza [Theoretical foundations of the volume-genetic method for estimating potential oil and gas resources]. Materialy po geokhimii neftegazonosnykh basseynov Sibiri. Novosibirsk, 1970, pp. 4-51. (Tr. SNIIGGiMS; issue 95).
   Kontorovich A.E., Burshteyn L.M. Livshits V.R. Sovremennoe sostoyanie i perspektivy razvitiya nelineynoy teorii naftidogeneza [The current state and prospects for the development of the nonlinear theory of naphthidogenesis]. Cbornik nauchnykh trudov k 70-letiyu VNIGRI. St. Petersburg: VNIGRI, 1999, pp. 49-54.
   Kontorovich A.E., Demin V.I. Metod otsenki kolichestva i raspredeleniya po zapasam mestorozhdeniy nefti i gaza v krupnykh neftegazonosnykh basseynakh [Method of estimation of the amount and distribution of oil and gas fields in large petroleum basins]. Geologiya nefti i gaza, 1977, no. 12, pp.18-26.
   Kontorovich A.E., Demin V.I. Prognoz kolichestva i raspredeleniya po zapasam mestorozhdeniy nefti i gaza [Forecast of the quantity and distribution of oil and gas fields by reserves]. Geologiya i geofizika, 1979, no. 3, pp. 26-46.
   Kontorovich A.E., Demin V.I., Krasnov O.S. Prognoz podgotovki resursov gaza s primeneniem matematicheskikh metodov [Conditional prediction of gas resources using mathematical methods]. Povyshenie effektivnosti razrabotki i uskorenie vvoda v promyshlennoe osvoenie mestorozhdeniy gaza v USSR, Khar'kov, 1976, pp. 69-70.
   Kontorovich A.E., Livshits V.R. Determinirovannyy kharakter protsessa nefteobrazovaniya v istorii Zemli i ego kolichestvennye kharakteristiki [Deterministic character of the process of oil formation in the history of the Earth and its quantitative characteristics]. Geologiya nefti i gaza, 2002, no. 1, pp. 9-16.
   Kontorovich A.E., Livshits V.R. Imitatsionnaya stokhasticheskaya model' raspredeleniya mestorozhdeniy nefti i gaza po resursam [Imitation stochastic model of the distribution of oil and gas fields by resources]. Sovetskaya.geologiya, 1988, no. 9, pp. 99-107.
   Kontorovich A.E., Livshits V.R. Imitatsionnoe modelirovanie protsessa poiskov mestorozhdeniy nefti i gaza [Imitative modeling of the process of prospecting for oil and gas deposits]. Geologiya i geofizika, 1988, no. 5, pp. 3-17.
   Kontorovich A.E., Livshits V.R. Novye metody otsenki, osobennosti struktury i puti osvoeniya prognoznykh resursov nefti zrelykh neftegazonosnykh provintsiy (na primere Volgo-Ural'skoy provintsii) [New estimation methods, peculiarities of structure and ways to develop forecast resources of mature oil and gas provinces (on the example of the Volga-Ural Province)]. Geologiya i geofizika, 2017, no. 12, pp. 1835-1852.
   Kontorovich A.E., Livshits V.R. O veroyatnostnom raspredelenii uglevodorodov po masse v dispersno rasseyannom sostoyanii [On the probability distribution of hydrocarbons by mass in a dispersed state]. Doklady RAN, 2007, vol.415, no. 4, pp. 514-517.
   Krylov N.A., Aleksin A.G., Baturin Yu.N. Zadachi i puti uskoreniya nauchno-tekhnicheskogo progressa pri poiskakh nefti v rayonakh s vysokoy razvedannost'yu nedr [Tasks and ways to accelerate scientific and technological progress in searching for oil in mature fields]. Geologiya nefti i gaza, 1986, no. 7, pp. 1-7.
   Livshits V.R. Imitatsionnaya stokhasticheskaya model' lateral'noy migratsii uglevodorodov [Imitational stochastic model of lateral migration of hydrocarbons]. Geologiya i geofizika, 2014, no. 5, pp. 906-917.
   Livshits V.R. Lateral'naya migratsiya uglevodorodov kak vozmozhnyy mekhanizm formirovaniya stepennogo raspredeleniya ikh skopleniy po masse [Lateral migration of hydrocarbons as a possible mechanism for the formation of the power distribution of their clusters by mass]. Geologiya i geofizika, 2017, no. 3-4, pp. 372-383.
   Livshits V.R., Sharnin A.A. Ob odnom vozmozhnom mekhanizme formirovaniya raspredeleniya skopleniy uglevodorodov po krupnosti [On one possible mechanism for forming the distribution of hydrocarbon accumulations by size]. Geologiya nefti i gaza, 2011, no. 5, pp. 12-18.
   Migratsiya rasseyannykh bitumoidov [Migration of dispersed bitumoids]. V.S. Vyshemirskiy, A.E. Kontorovich, A.A. Trofimuk. Novosibirsk: Nauka, Sibirskoe otdelenie, 1971, 167 p.
   Neruchev S.G., Moiseeva O.B., Klimova L.I., Smirnov S.V. Modelirovanie protsessov migratsii i akkumulyatsii nefti i gaza v lovushkakh [Modeling of migration and oil and gas accumulation in traps]. Geologiya i geofizika, 2000, vol. 41, no. 8, pp. 1145-1164.
   Osnovy stokhasticheskoy finansovoy matematiki. T. 1. Fakty. Modeli [Fundamentals of stochastic financial mathematics]. A.N. Shiryaev. Moscow: FAZIS, 1998, 512 p.
   Otsenka potentsial'nykh resursov uglevodorodov na osnovanii modelirovaniya protsessov ikh generatsii, migratsii i akkumulyatsii [Estimation of potential hydrocarbon resources based on modeling the processes of their generation, migration and accumulation]. S.G. Neruchev, T.K. Bazhenova, S.V. Smirnov, O.A. Andreeva, L.I. Klimova. St. Petersburg: «Nedra», 2006, 364 p.
   Prognoz mestorozhdeniy nefti i gaza [Forecast of oil and gas fields]. A.E. Kontorovich, E.E. Fotiadi, V.I. Demin, V.B. Leontovich, A.A. Rastegin, Moscow: Nedra, 1981, 350 p.
   Resursy nefti i gaza kapitalisticheskikh i razvivayushchikhsya stran. T. 2 [Oil and gas resources of capitalist and developing countries]. Pod red. V.I. Vysotskogo, N.A. Kalinina, Yu.Ya. Kuznetsova, M.S. Modelevskogo. Leningrad: Nedra, 1977, 263 p.
   Shpil'man V.I. Metodika prognozirovaniya razmerov mestorozhdeniy[Method of predicting the size of deposits]. Trudy in-ta ZapSibNIGNI, 1972, issue 53, pp. 118-126.
   Uchenie o nefti [The doctrine of oil]. I.M. Gubkin. Moscow: Nauka, 1975, 384 p.
   Vassoevich N.B. Teoriya osadochno-migratsionnogo proiskhozhdeniya nefti [Theory of sedimentary-migration origin of oil]. Izvestiya AN SSSR. Seriya Geologiya, 1967, no. 11, pp. 135-156.
   Vassoevich N.B., Trofimuk A.A., Kontorovich A.E., Neruchev S.G. Novye ssledovaniya v oblasti diagnostiki nefteproizvodyashchikh otlozheniy i otsenki prognoznykh zapasov nefti i gaza ob"emno-geneticheskim metodom [New studies of diagnostics of oil source rocks and estimation of expected reserves of oil and gas by the volume-genetic method]. Teoreticheskie problemy geologii nefti i gaza: Izbrannye trudy. V 4 t. Novosibirsk: Izd-vo SO RAN, filial «Geo», 2001, vol. 1, pp. 106-122.
   ;Vvedenie v teoriyu veroyatnostey i ee prilozheniya. T. 2 [An Introduction to probability theory and its applications]. V. Feller, Moscow: Mir, 1984, 751 p.
   Vyshemirskiy V.S., Kontorovich A.E., Trofimuk A.A. Uspekhi teorii organicheskogo proiskhozhdeniya nefti i gaza. Izbrannye trudy. V 4 t. [Advances in the theory of the organic origin of oil and gas]. Teoreticheskie problemy geologii nefti i gaza. Novosibirsk: Izd-vo SO RAN, filial «Geo», 2001, vol. 1, pp. 29-38.