Economy, information technology, resource management
| Article # 45_2025 | submitted on 09/22/2025 displayed on website on 11/28/2025 |
| 10 p. | Polyakov A.A., Koloskov V.N. |
| Сonvergent uncertainty and possible solutions | |
| The paper examines the nature of uncertainty in models of geological objects during regional studies and the preparation of objects for exploration drilling for oil and gas. It is shown that uncertainty has different origins, such as insufficient knowledge, variability in the characteristics of the geological objects being studied, and convergence, which refers to the occurrence of similar features resulting from different processes. The paper also discusses methods for overcoming convergence uncertainty during geological oil and gas exploration activity. Keywords: convergent uncertainty, geological object model, oil and gas exploration activity. |
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| article citation | Polyakov A.A., Koloskov V.N. Konvergentnaya neopredelennost' i vozmozhnosti ee preodoleniya [Сonvergent uncertainty and possible solutions]. Neftegazovaya Geologiya. Teoriya I Praktika, 2025, vol. 20, no. 4, available at: https://www.ngtp.ru/rub/2025/45_2025.html EDN: EDN: IIKUUO |
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Stupakova A.V., Polyakov A.A., Malyshev N.A., Sautkin R.S., Verzhbitskiy V.E., Komissarov D.K., Volyanskaya V.V., Osipov S.V., Bol'shakova M.A., Suslova A.A., Kalmykov A.G., Sitar K.A., Voronin M.E., Karpushin M.Yu., Mordasova A.V., Korobova N.I. Kriterii neftegazonosnosti osadochnogo basseyna [Criteria of oil and gas content of the sedimentary basin]. Georesursy, 2023, no. 25(2), pp. 5-21. (In Russ.). DOI: 10.18599/grs.2023.2.1
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Venner A., Uells P. Anatomiya nauchnogo protivostoyaniya. Est' li «yazyk» u pchel? [The anatomy of scientific confrontation. Do bees have a "language"?]. Translated from english by E.N. Panova, Moscow: Yazyki slavyanskikh kul'tur, 2011, 488 p. (In Russ.). EDN: UGNRSP
Vinogradov A.M. O priznakakh uporyadochennosti geopoley pri izuchenii struktury geologicheskikh tel [On the signs of the ordering of geofields in the study of the structure of geological bodies]. Izvestiya vuzov. Geologiya i razvedka, 1990, no. 10, pp. 45-53. (In Russ.).
Zubkov I.F. Problema geologicheskoy formy dvizheniya materii [The problem of the geological form of motion of matter]. Moscow: Nauka, 1979, 237 p. (In Russ.).
Ekonomika: Tolkovyy slovar' [Economics: an explanatory dictionary]. Ed. I.M. Osadchaya. Moscow: «INFRA-M», Izdatel'stvo «Ves' Mir», 2000, 829 p. (In Russ.).
Gogel' Zh. Osnovy tektoniki [Fundamentals of tectonics]. Moscow: Mir, 1969, 440 p.
Kachalov R.M. Upravlenie khozyaystvennym riskom [Economic risk management]. Moscow: Nauka, 2002, 192 p. (In Russ.). EDN: RPNWVB
Khain V.E., Ryabukhin A.G. Istoriya i metodologiya geologicheski nauk: Uchebnik [History and methodology of geological sciences: Textbook]. Moscow: Izd-vo MGU, 1997, 224 p. (In Russ.).
Nazarov I.V. Methodology of geological research [Methodology of geological research]. Novosibirsk: Nauka, 1982, 176 p. (In Russ.).
Polyakov A.A. Sistemnyy podkhod k analizu i snizheniyu riska pri poiskakh i razvedke mestorozhdeniy nefti i gaza [Systematic approach to the risk reduction analysis during prospecting and exploration activity of oil and gas fields]. Neftegazovaya Geologiya. Teoriya I Praktika, 2016, vol. 11, no. 1, available at: http://www.ngtp.ru/rub/3/3_2016.pdf (In Russ.). DOI: 10.17353/2070-5379/3_2016
Polyakov A.A. Sistemnyy podkhod k analizu i snizheniyu riska pri poiskakh i razvedke mestorozhdeniy nefti i gaza [A systematic approach to the analysis and reduction of risk in the search and exploration of oil and gas fields]. Izd. 2-e, dop. i pererab. Moscow-Izhevsk: Institut komp'yuternykh issledovaniy, 2019, 184 p. (In Russ.). EDN: VCOUSP
Polyakov A.A., Stupakova A.V., Malyshev N.A., Sautkin R.S., Verzhbitskiy V.E., Komissarov D.K., Osipov S.V. Kompleksirovanie metodov geologorazvedochnykh rabot dlya resheniya zadach poiska i razvedki nefti i gaza [Integration of exploration methods to solve the problems of oil and gas exploration]. Georesursy, 2023, 25(4), pp. 240-251. (In Russ.).
Pospelov G.L. O probleme konvergentsii v petrografii i geologii [On the problem of convergence in petrography and geology]. Problemy magm i genezisa izverzhennykh gornykh porod. Moscow: Izd-vo AN SSSR, 1963, 264 p. (In Russ.).
Rouz Piter R. Analiz riskov i upravlenie neftegazopoiskovymi proektami [Risk analysis and management of oil and gas exploration projects]. Moscow-Izhevsk: Izd-vo «Institut komp'yuternykh issledovaniy», 2011, 304 pp. (In Russ.).
Rybak-Franko Yu.V., Voykova S.I., Litvinova A.V. Izuchenie osobennostey stroeniya kremnisto-terrigennykh tolshch Okhotomorskogo regiona po seysmicheskim dannym [Studying the structural features of siliceous-terrigenous strata of the Okhotsk Sea region based on seismic data]. Geologiya nefti i gaza, 2011, no. 6, pp. 152-158. (In Russ.). EDN: OKCJUT
Stupakova A.V., Polyakov A.A., Malyshev N.A., Sautkin R.S., Verzhbitskiy V.E., Komissarov D.K., Volyanskaya V.V., Osipov S.V., Bol'shakova M.A., Suslova A.A., Kalmykov A.G., Sitar K.A., Voronin M.E., Karpushin M.Yu., Mordasova A.V., Korobova N.I. Kriterii neftegazonosnosti osadochnogo basseyna [Criteria of oil and gas content of the sedimentary basin]. Georesursy, 2023, no. 25(2), pp. 5-21. (In Russ.). DOI: 10.18599/grs.2023.2.1
Vasil'ev A.G., Vasil'eva I.A. Gomologicheskaya izmenchivost' morfologicheskikh struktur i epigeneticheskaya divergentsiya taksonov: Osnovy populyatsionnoy meronomii [Homological variability of morphological structures and epigenetic divergence of taxa: Fundamentals of population meronomy]. Moscow: Tovarishchestvo nauchnykh izdaniy KMK, 2009, 511 p. EDN: QKSREJ
Venner A., Uells P. Anatomiya nauchnogo protivostoyaniya. Est' li «yazyk» u pchel? [The anatomy of scientific confrontation. Do bees have a "language"?]. Translated from english by E.N. Panova, Moscow: Yazyki slavyanskikh kul'tur, 2011, 488 p. (In Russ.). EDN: UGNRSP
Vinogradov A.M. O priznakakh uporyadochennosti geopoley pri izuchenii struktury geologicheskikh tel [On the signs of the ordering of geofields in the study of the structure of geological bodies]. Izvestiya vuzov. Geologiya i razvedka, 1990, no. 10, pp. 45-53. (In Russ.).
Zubkov I.F. Problema geologicheskoy formy dvizheniya materii [The problem of the geological form of motion of matter]. Moscow: Nauka, 1979, 237 p. (In Russ.).