Provornaya I.V.
provornayaiv@gmail.com
Graduated from Novosibirsk State University (2009), specialization "mathematics".PhD in Economics.
Senior Researcher of the Center for the Economics of Oil and Gas Subsoil Use, INGG SB RAS.
Scientific interest area: regional economics, analysis of oil and gas markets, mathematical modeling.
Author of 80 publications.
Petroleum potential and development
| Article # 16_2024 | submitted on 05/07/2024 displayed on website on 06/14/2024 |
| 37 p. | Filimonova I.V., Kartashevich A.A., Provornaya I.V. , Nemov V.Yu., Samatova A.P. |
| Prospects for natural gas production in Eastern Siberia and the Far East, taking into account the peculiarities of the structure and localization of reserves | |
| Structural transformations in the global gas market under the influence of the geopolitical situation are among the most important challenges to Russia energy security. There is a reorientation of export flows to the east, a revision of strategic state and corporate documents of the gas industry with a focus on expanding domestic supplies and gasification. At the same time, the role of the natural gas resource base of Eastern Siberia and the Far East, characterized by a high content of methane and helium homologues, has increased, which is a favorable factor in strengthening gas processing and gas chemistry in Russia. Systematized data on the structure and localization features of gas reserves in the east of the country, assessed the supply of transport infrastructure with reserves, and substantiated the prospects for gas production taking into account the growing demand for energy from domestic consumers and Asia-Pacific countries. When constructing a gas production forecast, the fields were grouped into local centers characterized by unified systems for collecting and transporting hydrocarbons to end consumers. The level of production of free gas and gas from gas caps in Eastern Siberia and the Far East in 2030 may reach 85.9 billion m3 in 2030 and by 2050 – 95.8 billion m3. The main contribution to the production of free gas will be made by the fields of the Leno-Tunguska oil and gas pipeline, where in 2030 gas production from the fields will amount to 53.5 billion m3 and will continue until 2050. Keywords: gas production forecast, gas resource base, structure and localization of gas reserves, gasification, Eastern Siberia, Far East. |
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| article citation | Filimonova I.V., Kartashevich A.A., Provornaya I.V., Nemov V.Yu., Samatova A.P. Perspektivy dobychi prirodnogo gaza v Vostochnoy Sibiri i na Dal'nem Vostoke s uchetom osobennostey struktury i lokalizatsii zapasov [Prospects for natural gas production in Eastern Siberia and the Far East, taking into account the peculiarities of the structure and localization of reserves]. Neftegazovaya Geologiya. Teoriya I Praktika, 2024, vol. 19, no. 2, available at: https://www.ngtp.ru/rub/2024/16_2024.html EDN: VPDDDV |
References
Bochkarev A.V., Lobusev A.V., Skorobogatov V.A., Khabibullin D.Ya. Nereshennye problemy neftegazovoy geologii Vostochnoy Sibiri i Dal'nego Vostoka Rossii i puti ikh resheniya [Unsolved problems of the oil and gas geology of Eastern Siberia and the Russian Far East and ways to solve them]. Vesti gazovoy nauki, 2021, no. 3 (48), pp. 101-111. (In Russ).
Filimonova I.V., Moiseev S.A., Kuznetsova E.N., Gordeeva A.V., Konstantinova L.N., Fomin A.M. Kto osvoit novyy region? Analiz nedropol'zovaniya v Vostochnoy Sibiri i Respublike Sakha (Yakutiya) [Who will master the new region? Analysis of subsurface use in Eastern Siberia and the Republic of Sakha (Yakutia)]. Neftegazovaya vertikal', 2019, 13 (457), no. 8-17. (In Russ).
Filimonova I.V., Nemov V.Yu., Provornaya I.V., Kartashevich A.A. Vozmozhnosti i ogranicheniya gazifikatsii vostochnykh regionov Rossii [Opportunities and limitations of gasification in the eastern regions of Russia]. Problemy ekonomiki i upravleniya neftegazovym kompleksom, 2023, no. 5 (221), pp. 18-23. (In Russ).
Filimonova I.V., Provornaya I.V., Kartashevich A.A., Novikov A.Yu. Prognoz dobychi gaza v Respublike Sakha (Yakutiya) s uchetom struktury syr'evoy bazy, transportnoy obespechennosti, potrebnostey vnutrennego i vneshnego rynkov [Forecast of gas production in the Republic of Sakha (Yakutia), taking into account the structure of the raw material base, transport security, and the needs of domestic and foreign markets]. Mineral'nye resursy Rossii. Ekonomika i upravlenie, 2024, no. 2 (187), pp. 46-56. (In Russ).
Gayvoronskaya M.S. Issledovanie problemy gazifikatsii v Sibiri i na Dal'nem Vostoke RF [Investigation of the problem of gasification in Siberia and the Far East of the Russian Federation]. Infrastruktura prostranstvennogo razvitiya RF: transport, energetika, innovatsionnaya sistema, zhizneobespechenie, 2020, pp. 222-237. (In Russ).
Kontorovich A.E., Eder L.V., Filimonova I.V., Mishenin M.V. Rol' unikal'nykh i krupnykh mestorozhdeniy v neftyanoy promyshlennosti Rossii: retrospektiva, sovremennoe sostoyanie, prognoz [The role of unique and large fields in the Russian oil industry: retrospective, current state, forecast]. Energeticheskaya politika, 2016, no. 2, pp. 34-43. (In Russ).
Kontorovich A.E., Eder L.V., Filimonova I.V., Nikitenko S.M. Key problems in the development of the Power of Siberia project. Regional Research of Russia, 2018, vol. 8, no. 1, pp. 92-100.
Kuznetsova E.N., Moiseev S.A., Belova E.V., Gordeeva A.O. Otsenka sovremennogo sostoyaniya nedropol'zovaniya Irkutskoy oblasti [Assessment of the present state of subsoil use of the Irkutsk region]. Neftegazovaya Geologiya. Teoriya I Praktika, 2023, vol. 18, no. 3, available at: http://www.ngtp.ru/rub/2023/31_2023.html (In Russ). EDN: NWVJHS
Lapaeva O.F., Ovcharenko E.V. Razvitie gazovoy promyshlennosti v Rossii [Development of the gas industry in Russia]. Vestnik Orenburgskogo gosudarstvennogo universiteta, 2009, no. 8, pp. 68-74. (In Russ).
Pososhkov P.I. Klasternaya infrastruktura v obespechenii ekonomicheskoy bezopasnosti Dal'nego Vostoka [Cluster infrastructure in ensuring the economic security of the Far East]. Izvestiya Sankt-Peterburgskogo gosudarstvennogo ekonomicheskogo universiteta, 2015, no. 5 (95), pp. 134-137. (In Russ).
Tolstikov A.V., Astaf'ev D.A., Kabalin M.Yu., Naumova L.A., Sharov S.A. Novye napravleniya poiskovo-razvedochnykh rabot na severo-vostochnom shel'fe o. Sakhalin [New directions of exploration activity on the northeastern shelf of the island Sakhalin]. Vesti gazovoy nauki, 2020, no. 3 (45), pp. 3-15. (In Russ).
Filimonova I.V., Moiseev S.A., Kuznetsova E.N., Gordeeva A.V., Konstantinova L.N., Fomin A.M. Kto osvoit novyy region? Analiz nedropol'zovaniya v Vostochnoy Sibiri i Respublike Sakha (Yakutiya) [Who will master the new region? Analysis of subsurface use in Eastern Siberia and the Republic of Sakha (Yakutia)]. Neftegazovaya vertikal', 2019, 13 (457), no. 8-17. (In Russ).
Filimonova I.V., Nemov V.Yu., Provornaya I.V., Kartashevich A.A. Vozmozhnosti i ogranicheniya gazifikatsii vostochnykh regionov Rossii [Opportunities and limitations of gasification in the eastern regions of Russia]. Problemy ekonomiki i upravleniya neftegazovym kompleksom, 2023, no. 5 (221), pp. 18-23. (In Russ).
Filimonova I.V., Provornaya I.V., Kartashevich A.A., Novikov A.Yu. Prognoz dobychi gaza v Respublike Sakha (Yakutiya) s uchetom struktury syr'evoy bazy, transportnoy obespechennosti, potrebnostey vnutrennego i vneshnego rynkov [Forecast of gas production in the Republic of Sakha (Yakutia), taking into account the structure of the raw material base, transport security, and the needs of domestic and foreign markets]. Mineral'nye resursy Rossii. Ekonomika i upravlenie, 2024, no. 2 (187), pp. 46-56. (In Russ).
Gayvoronskaya M.S. Issledovanie problemy gazifikatsii v Sibiri i na Dal'nem Vostoke RF [Investigation of the problem of gasification in Siberia and the Far East of the Russian Federation]. Infrastruktura prostranstvennogo razvitiya RF: transport, energetika, innovatsionnaya sistema, zhizneobespechenie, 2020, pp. 222-237. (In Russ).
Kontorovich A.E., Eder L.V., Filimonova I.V., Mishenin M.V. Rol' unikal'nykh i krupnykh mestorozhdeniy v neftyanoy promyshlennosti Rossii: retrospektiva, sovremennoe sostoyanie, prognoz [The role of unique and large fields in the Russian oil industry: retrospective, current state, forecast]. Energeticheskaya politika, 2016, no. 2, pp. 34-43. (In Russ).
Kontorovich A.E., Eder L.V., Filimonova I.V., Nikitenko S.M. Key problems in the development of the Power of Siberia project. Regional Research of Russia, 2018, vol. 8, no. 1, pp. 92-100.
Kuznetsova E.N., Moiseev S.A., Belova E.V., Gordeeva A.O. Otsenka sovremennogo sostoyaniya nedropol'zovaniya Irkutskoy oblasti [Assessment of the present state of subsoil use of the Irkutsk region]. Neftegazovaya Geologiya. Teoriya I Praktika, 2023, vol. 18, no. 3, available at: http://www.ngtp.ru/rub/2023/31_2023.html (In Russ). EDN: NWVJHS
Lapaeva O.F., Ovcharenko E.V. Razvitie gazovoy promyshlennosti v Rossii [Development of the gas industry in Russia]. Vestnik Orenburgskogo gosudarstvennogo universiteta, 2009, no. 8, pp. 68-74. (In Russ).
Pososhkov P.I. Klasternaya infrastruktura v obespechenii ekonomicheskoy bezopasnosti Dal'nego Vostoka [Cluster infrastructure in ensuring the economic security of the Far East]. Izvestiya Sankt-Peterburgskogo gosudarstvennogo ekonomicheskogo universiteta, 2015, no. 5 (95), pp. 134-137. (In Russ).
Tolstikov A.V., Astaf'ev D.A., Kabalin M.Yu., Naumova L.A., Sharov S.A. Novye napravleniya poiskovo-razvedochnykh rabot na severo-vostochnom shel'fe o. Sakhalin [New directions of exploration activity on the northeastern shelf of the island Sakhalin]. Vesti gazovoy nauki, 2020, no. 3 (45), pp. 3-15. (In Russ).
Economy, information technology, resource management
| Article # 33_2019 | submitted on 08/16/2019 displayed on website on 09/13/2019 |
| 16 p. | Filimonova I.V., Provornaya I.V. , Komarova A.V., Zemnukhova E.A. |
| Sustainable trends in changing the regional structure of oil production in Russia | |
| The article carried out a comprehensive study of sustainable trends in changing the regional structure of oil production in Russia. The analysis of the current state of the oil industry in Russia is carried out taking into account the peculiarities of the transformation of the world energy supply system. The patterns of displacement of oil production centers are analyzed and the stages of oil production development in the country and the deployment of production activity are determined - the North Caucasus, the Volga-Ural, Western Siberia, Eastern Siberia, the Far East, including Sakhalin Island, and the Arctic area. An assessment of the current state of development of the oil industry in Russia is given. The main objects and priority tasks of prospecting, exploration and development of oil fields are highlighted. It is shown that the existing oil resource volume allows predicting fairly optimistic levels of oil production, however, the actual volume of oil production will depend on the buget allocation and volume of geological exploration, as well as the level of development of technologies for the developing of unconventional sources of hydrocarbons, especially oil from the Bazhenov Formation. The authors studied the prospects and made a forecast of changes in the regional structure of oil production in Russia for the long term. Keywords: structure oil production, Bazhenov Formation, Volga-Ural, Arctic, Western Siberia, Eastern Siberia, Far East. |
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| article citation | Filimonova I.V., Provornaya I.V., Komarova A.V., Zemnukhova E.A. Ustoychivye tendentsii izmeneniya regional'noy struktury dobychi nefti v Rossii [Sustainable trends in changing the regional structure of oil production in Russia]. Neftegazovaya Geologiya. Teoriya I Praktika, 2019, vol. 14, no. 3, available at: http://www.ngtp.ru/rub/2019/33_2019.html |
| DOI | https://doi.org/10.17353/2070-5379/33_2019 |
References
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Filimonova I.V., Eder L.V., Nemov V.Yu., Mishenin M.V. Kompleksnyy ekonomicheskiy analiz kompaniy neftegazovoy otrasli Rossii [Comprehensive economic analysis of oil and gas companies in Russia]. Ekonomicheskiy analiz: teoriya i praktika, 2019, vol. 18, no. 5 (488), pp. 925-943.
Gubkin I.M. Bashkirskaya neft', ee znachenie i perspektivy razvitiya [Bashkir oil, its significance and development prospects]. Moscow, 1932, 9 p.
Kontorovich A.E. Neftegazonosnye basseyny i regiony Sibiri [Oil and gas basins and regions of Siberia]. Novosibirsk: SNIIGGiMS, 1994, 97 p.
Kontorovich A.E., Eder L.V. Novaya paradigma strategii razvitiya syr'evoy bazy neftedobyvayushchey promyshlennosti Rossiyskoy Federatsii [The new paradigm of the petroleum resources development strategy for Russian Federation oil industry]. Mineral'nye resursy Rossii. Ekonomika i upravlenie, 2015, no. 5, pp. 8-17.
Kontorovich A.E., Eder L.V., Filimonova I.V., Mishenin M.V. Rol' unikal'nykh i krupnykh mestorozhdeniy v neftyanoy promyshlennosti Rossii: retrospektiva, sovremennoe sostoyanie, prognoz [The role of unique and large fields in the Russian oil industry: retrospective, current status, forecast]. Energeticheskaya politika, 2016, no. 2, pp. 34-43.
Makarevich V.N., Iskritskaya N.I., Bogoslovskiy S.A. Resursnyy potentsial mestorozhdeniy tyazhelykh neftey evropeyskoy chasti Rossiyskoy Federatsii [Resource potential of heavy oil fields in European Russia]. Neftegazovaya Geologiya. Teoriya I Praktika, 2012, vol. 7, no. 3, available at: http://www.ngtp.ru/rub/6/43_2012.pdf
Otmas A.A. (Senior), Podol'skiy Yu.V. Sostoyanie i perspektivy razvitiya syr'evoy bazy uglevodorodov na territorii Nenetskogo avtonomnogo okruga [Current and future development of the hydrocarbons resources prospects in the Nenets Autonomous Okrug]. Neftegazovaya Geologiya. Teoriya I Praktika, 2013, vol. 8, no. 3, available at: http://www.ngtp.ru/rub/6/29_2013.pdf. DOI: https://doi.org/10.17353/2070-5379/29_2013
Trofimuk A.A. 60 let razvitiya geologii nefti i gaza v SSSR [60 years of the development of the petroleum geology in the USSR]. Geologiya nefti i gaza, 1982, no. 12, pp. 32-36.
Filimonova I.V., Eder L.V., Nemov V.Yu., Mishenin M.V. Kompleksnyy ekonomicheskiy analiz kompaniy neftegazovoy otrasli Rossii [Comprehensive economic analysis of oil and gas companies in Russia]. Ekonomicheskiy analiz: teoriya i praktika, 2019, vol. 18, no. 5 (488), pp. 925-943.
Gubkin I.M. Bashkirskaya neft', ee znachenie i perspektivy razvitiya [Bashkir oil, its significance and development prospects]. Moscow, 1932, 9 p.
Kontorovich A.E. Neftegazonosnye basseyny i regiony Sibiri [Oil and gas basins and regions of Siberia]. Novosibirsk: SNIIGGiMS, 1994, 97 p.
Kontorovich A.E., Eder L.V. Novaya paradigma strategii razvitiya syr'evoy bazy neftedobyvayushchey promyshlennosti Rossiyskoy Federatsii [The new paradigm of the petroleum resources development strategy for Russian Federation oil industry]. Mineral'nye resursy Rossii. Ekonomika i upravlenie, 2015, no. 5, pp. 8-17.
Kontorovich A.E., Eder L.V., Filimonova I.V., Mishenin M.V. Rol' unikal'nykh i krupnykh mestorozhdeniy v neftyanoy promyshlennosti Rossii: retrospektiva, sovremennoe sostoyanie, prognoz [The role of unique and large fields in the Russian oil industry: retrospective, current status, forecast]. Energeticheskaya politika, 2016, no. 2, pp. 34-43.
Makarevich V.N., Iskritskaya N.I., Bogoslovskiy S.A. Resursnyy potentsial mestorozhdeniy tyazhelykh neftey evropeyskoy chasti Rossiyskoy Federatsii [Resource potential of heavy oil fields in European Russia]. Neftegazovaya Geologiya. Teoriya I Praktika, 2012, vol. 7, no. 3, available at: http://www.ngtp.ru/rub/6/43_2012.pdf
Otmas A.A. (Senior), Podol'skiy Yu.V. Sostoyanie i perspektivy razvitiya syr'evoy bazy uglevodorodov na territorii Nenetskogo avtonomnogo okruga [Current and future development of the hydrocarbons resources prospects in the Nenets Autonomous Okrug]. Neftegazovaya Geologiya. Teoriya I Praktika, 2013, vol. 8, no. 3, available at: http://www.ngtp.ru/rub/6/29_2013.pdf. DOI: https://doi.org/10.17353/2070-5379/29_2013
Trofimuk A.A. 60 let razvitiya geologii nefti i gaza v SSSR [60 years of the development of the petroleum geology in the USSR]. Geologiya nefti i gaza, 1982, no. 12, pp. 32-36.